After a volatile week dominated by global jitters and profit booking, Indian equity markets ended lower, with the Nifty50 slipping 1.2% for the week ended July 11, 2025.The selloff came amid renewed tariff threats by U.S. President Donald Trump, which spooked global investors and added pressure on risk assets.Global headwinds, local profit bookingThe market, which had previously rallied to higher levels, witnessed a bout of selling as investors opted to lock in gains. Sectorally, the brunt of the fall was borne by IT, auto, and metal stocks, which emerged as the top laggards for the week.A textbook trend reversal: July 10 lived up to the forecastIn our last note, we identified July 10 as a High Alert Day—a potential inflection point where a trend reversal could unfold.As anticipated, the market exhibited strong momentum on that day, but a subsequent breakdown below July 10’s low on Friday triggered a sharp decline. This confirmed July 10 as a textbook trend-shifting session, reinforcing our forecast methodology.Precision in price: Support & resistance levels held firmOur key levels provided clear guidance throughout the week:Weekly High: 25,548.70 (vs. resistance at 25,586 — only 37 points off)Weekly Low: 25,129 (vs. support at 25,120 — just 9 points difference)Friday Intraday High: 25,322 (vs. projected level at 25,320)Key Magnet Level: 25,434 — acted as crucial support on July 7, 8, and 9These precise levels helped intraday and positional traders navigate the market with greater confidence.Timing the market: Time forecasts that workedOur Time + Price framework once again proved its effectiveness:July 8 (Mon):9:25 am: Day high formed at 9:35 am10:05 am: Swing low emerged11:20 am: Down move began2:15 pm: Swing low seen near 2:30 pmJuly 9 (Tue):11:45 am: Swing low hit exactly on timeJuly 10 (Wed):9:30 am: Swing low11:20 am: Swing high12:20 pm: Momentum move began, peaked at 2:35 pmJuly 11 (Thu):9:20 am: Day high1:55 pm: Fresh momentum initiatedJuly 12 (Fri):9:20 am: High formed by 9:40 am11:25 am: Sideways movement began post selling haltWhat to expect: July 14–18Looking ahead, all eyes now turn to Tuesday, July 15, flagged as the next High Alert Day (±1 trading day). Traders should brace for elevated volatility and potentially strong intraday moves—ideal conditions for short-term and momentum trading setups.Time Zones to Watch:July 14 (Mon): 10:20 am, 11:30 amJuly 15 (Tue): 9:45 am, 12:45 pm, 1:45 pm, 2:40 pmJuly 16 (Wed): 10:45 am, 11:40 am, 1:20 pmJuly 17 (Thu): 10:15 am, 11:30 am, 12:45 pmJuly 18 (Fri): 12:30 pm, 2:05 pmSupport and resistance levelsSupport Zones:25,085 / 24,978 / 24,850 / 24,676 / 24,538 / 25,450Resistance Zones:25,320 / 25,434 / 25,566 / 25,600 / 25,911 / 26,230These levels are expected to act as crucial pivots for price action through the week. Traders are advised to use these zones in conjunction with the mentioned time forecasts for higher probability setups.Conclusion: Stay sharp, stay timed With another High Alert period approaching, precision trading becomes more important than ever. As the previous week demonstrated, combining time and price offers a significant edge in anticipating market moves. Use these tools to your advantage—trade with discipline, stay nimble, and let the charts do the talking.(The author is Director, Wealthview Analytics Pvt Ltd)SEBI Registration – INH000009676Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Please read all related documents carefully before investing. Recommendations and views expressed are those of the author and do not represent the views of The Economic Times.(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)
- News Source Indiatimes (Click to view full news): CLICK HERE
0 Comments:
Leave a Reply